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Specific Findings:
1. Seven out
of ten seriously delinquent borrowers are
still not on track for
any loss mitigation
outcome. While the number
of borrowers in loss mitigation has increased, it has been
matched by an increasing level of delinquent loans.
The number of
home retention solutions (forbearance, repayment plan, and
modification) in
process, as compared to the number of
seriously-delinquent loans, is unchanged during the
four month period. The absolute numbers of loss
mitigation efforts and
delinquent loans have increased, but the relative
percentage between the two has remained the
same. Given creative servicer outreach efforts
and increased public
awareness of the HOPE Hotline during this time period,
this large gap
suggests a more systemic failure of servicer capacity to
work out loans.
2. Data suggests that loss mitigation
departments are severely strained in managing current
workload. For example:
a.
Almost two-thirds
of all loss mitigations efforts started are not
completed
in the following month. Most loss
mitigation efforts do not close
quickly. This consistent
trend over the last three months suggests that
many proposed loss
mitigations fail to close, rather than simply take longer
than a month to work
through the system. Based on anecdotal reports of
lost paperwork and busy
call centers, we are concerned that servicers
overall are not
able to manage the sheer numbers of delinquent
loans.
b.
Seriously
delinquent loans are “stacking up” on the way to
foreclosure.
The
primary increases in subprime delinquency rates are
occurring in very seriously
delinquent loans or in loans starting foreclosure. This
suggests that the
burgeoning numbers of delinquent loans that do not receive
loss mitigation
attention are clogging up the system on their way
to foreclosure. We
fear this will translate to increased levels of
vacant foreclosed homes
that will further depress property values and
increase burdens
on government services.
3. For those
homeowners receiving loss mitigation assistance, more
are receiving loan
modifications. Two-thirds of
home retention solutions started in January were directed
to loan modification, showing a continued shift to
longer-term solutions for
homeowners that receive loss mitigation assistance. Many
servicers are replacing their use of repayment plans in
favor of loan modifications.
The Foreclosure
Fraud Alert Website http://www.foreclosurefraudalert.com/
The
Foreclosure Fraud Alert
Blog
http://www.foreclosurefraudalert.com/fraudblog
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